The market is very quiet today as everyone waits for the U.S. Employment number on Friday. Bloomberg is calling for an increase in employment (non-farm payrolls) of 144k after a June number of 121k. All the "predictions" that I have been reading/seeing is that the number will disappoint the market. If I were a betting man, I would certainly be leaning this way. EM currencies have strengthened considerably today and U.S. interest rate futures are slightly higher. I have been looking for lower rates in Mexico and Brazil off the back of a slowing U.S. economy. I think we will (and have been) beging to see the economic numbers begin to show this occurence in a bigger way. I also see this as the defining moment for the FED in the sense it should spell out what they are going to be doing at the end of the month. I am again leaning toward no change but the number on friday will dictate. I will also be going into the number with a few positions
Long Usd/Jpy
Short Euro/Usd
Short Usd/Brl
Short Usd/Clp
Short Usd/Ars
Looking for lower rates in
Brazil
Mexico
Argentina
FXTRADINGIDEAS@AOL.COM
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